John Rundle
Distinguished Professor of Physics & Astronomy, Earth & Planetary Science, & Applied Mathematics
-
University of California, Davis, CA
Anticipating Earthquakes
Major earthquakes can cause great destruction, injuries and death. Anticipating these events has been extremely challenging. Recently we have pioneered a new approach involving nowcasting, a term borrowed from economics and finance, together with machine learning. These new methods allow us to rigorously compute earthquake probabilities directly from observed data, over short time scales of 1 to 3 years in the future, compared to the current 30 -year time scales.